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  3. Mark Carney’s first budget projects $78B deficit, program and civil service cuts

Mark Carney’s first budget projects $78B deficit, program and civil service cuts

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  • K Kindness is Punk

    The fundamental flaw is equating corporate efficiency with public effectiveness. A company’s goal is shareholder returns, so it serves profitable customers and abandons the rest. We see this taken to its extreme with certain venture capital and private equity firms: they can buy a company, burden it with the debt used for its own acquisition, extract massive fees and dividends, and leave it a hollowed out shell. When it collapses, the architects of that failure are shielded from the consequences.

    A government’s mission is the opposite: to serve everyone, especially the vulnerable. Applying this profit extraction model to public service doesn’t eliminate costs it just shifts them, following the destructive maxim of ‘privatize the profits, socialize the costs.’ For a corporation, this might be a successful short-term play. But for a government it’s long-term ruin

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    MyBrainHurts
    wrote on last edited by mybrainhurts@piefed.ca
    #41

    Applying this profit extraction model to public service

    Getting back to 2019 spending levels over a few years is hardly hollowing out the government.

    And what that freed up money is doing is investing in stuff that makes those services work better.

    For example in healthcare, which is hanging on by a thread, I think a few billion are going to building and renovating hospitals and investing in a new medical school. Those all make the services more efficient and sustainable in the long run.

    Edit: My goodness, the cuts are something like 13 billion out of a 500 billion budget.

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    • M MyBrainHurts

      Applying this profit extraction model to public service

      Getting back to 2019 spending levels over a few years is hardly hollowing out the government.

      And what that freed up money is doing is investing in stuff that makes those services work better.

      For example in healthcare, which is hanging on by a thread, I think a few billion are going to building and renovating hospitals and investing in a new medical school. Those all make the services more efficient and sustainable in the long run.

      Edit: My goodness, the cuts are something like 13 billion out of a 500 billion budget.

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      Kindness is Punk
      wrote on last edited by
      #42

      Most of the money got reallocated to the military though.

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      • K Kindness is Punk

        Most of the money got reallocated to the military though.

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        MyBrainHurts
        wrote on last edited by
        #43

        They’re cutting 13 billion. 51 billion (over 10 years) is going to local infrastucture; housing, roads, health and sanitation facilities.

        Yes, military got more (~82 billion) and I don’t love that. Though, one part I do love is that a chunk of that military is also dual use, so climate emergencies like wildfires, floods etc.

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        • M MyBrainHurts

          They’re cutting 13 billion. 51 billion (over 10 years) is going to local infrastucture; housing, roads, health and sanitation facilities.

          Yes, military got more (~82 billion) and I don’t love that. Though, one part I do love is that a chunk of that military is also dual use, so climate emergencies like wildfires, floods etc.

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          Kindness is Punk
          wrote on last edited by
          #44

          Then give it to firefighters, climate scientists and forestry. The military is reactive not preventative.

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          • K Kindness is Punk

            Then give it to firefighters, climate scientists and forestry. The military is reactive not preventative.

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            MyBrainHurts
            wrote on last edited by
            #45

            Sure, you can dislike the military spending.

            That doesn’t mean the budget isn’t investing more in the public than it is withdrawing.

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            • M MyBrainHurts

              Sure, you can dislike the military spending.

              That doesn’t mean the budget isn’t investing more in the public than it is withdrawing.

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              Kindness is Punk
              wrote on last edited by
              #46

              I dislike the increase in spending on military because the returns to the public are minimal, the US has proven that, decades running.

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              • K Kindness is Punk

                I dislike the increase in spending on military because the returns to the public are minimal, the US has proven that, decades running.

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                MyBrainHurts
                wrote on last edited by
                #47

                Again, that’s a fine and valid critique of the budget.

                The fundamental flaw is equating corporate efficiency with public effectiveness…

                This position however, does not seem valid when the budget is putting in more than it removes from actual public services, 51 billion v 13.

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                • R Rentlar

                  The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.

                  Nik282000N This user is from outside of this forum
                  Nik282000N This user is from outside of this forum
                  Nik282000
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #48

                  Cut the 30B that subsidizes oil and gas.

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                  • M MyBrainHurts

                    Sorry, I seriously disagree with about all of this.

                    Inequality is what gives the ultra-wealthy their outsized influence in the political economy.

                    This is about Canadian politics. We have strict rules and limits on donations, advertising and support. Like anything, could probably be better but it’s a pretty fair balance.

                    the government can issue currency essentially at will.

                    Apologies but this is childishly ignorant. Look to most countries in South America about the consequences of doing so. Inflation is very real and reducing the value of the Canadian dollar hurts those who can afford it least.

                    Taxes aren’t there to fund services. They exist to reduce inequality.

                    Absolutely not. Being equally poor without teachers, doctors, roads, defence, I mean my God.

                    tax the billionaires

                    We do. You let me know how much you think we do currently, how much more you would like.

                    And if they leave: we’re better off that way too!

                    Who needs hospitals, schools, emergency responders etc anyway? At least we won’t have dumb ol’ rich people anymore!

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                    patatas@sh.itjust.works
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #49

                    You’re welcome to disagree - but everything I said is factual. If there’s something you don’t understand, I’m happy to explain - just ask.

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                    • P patatas@sh.itjust.works

                      You’re welcome to disagree - but everything I said is factual. If there’s something you don’t understand, I’m happy to explain - just ask.

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                      MyBrainHurts
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #50

                      the government can issue currency essentially at will.

                      Okay, sure, this is technically true. In the same way that technically, you can drink bleach it’s just a very bad idea.

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                      • M MyBrainHurts

                        the government can issue currency essentially at will.

                        Okay, sure, this is technically true. In the same way that technically, you can drink bleach it’s just a very bad idea.

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                        patatas@sh.itjust.works
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #51

                        It’s literally how we dealt with the first phase of the Covid pandemic. Was keeping millions of Canadians from being evicted a bad idea?

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                        • P patatas@sh.itjust.works

                          It’s literally how we dealt with the first phase of the Covid pandemic. Was keeping millions of Canadians from being evicted a bad idea?

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                          MyBrainHurts
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #52

                          Covid, and emergencies like it, are entirely the point of fiscal responsibility!

                          In an emergency, you can max out your credit. If you do that on the regular, for non emergencies, not only will you end up paying an absurd amount of interest, but you won’t be able to borrow more when the next emergency happens!

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                          • M MyBrainHurts

                            Covid, and emergencies like it, are entirely the point of fiscal responsibility!

                            In an emergency, you can max out your credit. If you do that on the regular, for non emergencies, not only will you end up paying an absurd amount of interest, but you won’t be able to borrow more when the next emergency happens!

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                            patatas@sh.itjust.works
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #53

                            Great ok so we at least agree that issuing currency is not the fiscal equivalent of drinking bleach, and that there are good and bad reasons to do it.

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                            • P patatas@sh.itjust.works

                              Great ok so we at least agree that issuing currency is not the fiscal equivalent of drinking bleach, and that there are good and bad reasons to do it.

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                              MyBrainHurts
                              wrote on last edited by mybrainhurts@piefed.ca
                              #54

                              Dollars are not scarce items; the government can issue currency essentially at will.

                              Edit: You CAN drink a small amount of bleach. Just like you CAN print money during a generational event.

                              A small amount of bleach will burn a bit. A small amount of printing money caused inflation that we also haven’t seen in decades. It hurts families now but that’s the price we paid to help during covid.

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                              • R Rentlar

                                The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.

                                circav@lemmy.caC This user is from outside of this forum
                                circav@lemmy.caC This user is from outside of this forum
                                circav@lemmy.ca
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #55

                                This budget is ass.

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                                • R Rentlar

                                  I mean, that’s how a lot of Canadian politics works… “passed because no one really hated it”…

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                                  nouveau_burnswick@lemmy.world
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #56

                                  That’s how all politics works. You can’t make everyone happy, so you just try to make every less unhappy.

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                                  • M MyBrainHurts

                                    Which services are you thinking of?

                                    The major thing I’ve seen is reducing the number of public sector employees back to 2020 levels, which doesn’t seem wild. (I haven’t seen a good explanation of why we needed to increase the public sector by 20% since then, nor of what we got out of that. If you have anything, I’d love to read it!) Throw in some reductions of outside consultants etc…

                                    There are undoubtedly some programs getting cut. But given we’re teetering on the edge of an adversary induced recession, that doesn’t seem unsreasonable.

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                                    nouveau_burnswick@lemmy.world
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #57

                                    Generally speaking, reducing public servants increases consultancy requirements, not reduces.

                                    If you don’t have someone with the capabilites/skills/corporate knowledge/experince/capacity to do X thing on the payroll, then you need to hire a consultant to do it.

                                    Now obviously I couldn’t tell you what ministry/department/etc needs, but let’s take the Alto contract as an isolated example.

                                    We don’t have any rail expertise in government at all, so we need to consult it in, and we pay a premium for that. In the lens of a single rail project, that makes a a lot of sense, we aren’t paying payroll and maintaining expertise for a once in a generation project.

                                    The alternative is having something like a national rail crown corp or department, like SNCF in France. Now all the experience is at the national level whenever you need it. SNCF has a lot more staff, planning, and engineering capacity than it requires; so that gets farmed out to regions and municipalities to help them with their rail/metro/tram projects. This is instead of each of them needing consultants, driving up the costs for municipal governments/capital projects.

                                    In this manner increased federal spending becomes an accelerant for other levels of government and reduces regional and municipal spending, and thus the overall tax burden for everyone.

                                    So if we had something like SNCF then the Alto project might cost a little more, but the Vancouver, Edmonton, Calgary, Ottawa, Toronto, and Montréal recent/ongoing lines would be cheaper; plus medium cities like Victoria, Winnipeg, Québec City, and Halifax would have rail projects in their reach; and smaller cities like Red Deer, Regina, Thunder Bay, Kingston, Trois Rivières, and Fredericton would have tram projects in their reach.

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                                    • M MyBrainHurts

                                      Again, that’s a fine and valid critique of the budget.

                                      The fundamental flaw is equating corporate efficiency with public effectiveness…

                                      This position however, does not seem valid when the budget is putting in more than it removes from actual public services, 51 billion v 13.

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                                      Kindness is Punk
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #58

                                      That part wasn’t a critique of the budget, it was a critique of your pitch for efficiency. You pivoted the discussion, I followed.

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                                      • M MyBrainHurts

                                        Dollars are not scarce items; the government can issue currency essentially at will.

                                        Edit: You CAN drink a small amount of bleach. Just like you CAN print money during a generational event.

                                        A small amount of bleach will burn a bit. A small amount of printing money caused inflation that we also haven’t seen in decades. It hurts families now but that’s the price we paid to help during covid.

                                        P This user is from outside of this forum
                                        P This user is from outside of this forum
                                        patatas@sh.itjust.works
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #59

                                        Taxes, then, are disinflationary, right? Which is why we need to tax the rich especially

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                                        • M MyBrainHurts

                                          removing the carbon cap saying that investments in several sectors would reduce the emissions anyway. A lot of wishful thinking on the budget text, or on the worst case mental gymnastics malice.

                                          A lot of this is through keeping and raising a carbon tax. That makes companies find the most efficient ways to reduce their footprints, rather than the government mandating it for each group. This is the approach favoured by most serious economists and think groups about reducing emissions quickly.

                                          without details what kind of investment they are putting money in

                                          You can look at the “nation building” projects, which include a massive wind farm (green as hell) and a nuclear plant (fairly clean, significantly better than say, oil or gas.)

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                                          kent_eh@lemmy.ca
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #60

                                          That makes companies find the most efficient ways to reduce their footprints, rather than the government mandating it for each group. This is the approach favoured by most serious economists

                                          And it is the approach Carney favored in his book (which was written several years before he decided to run for office)

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