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Wandering Adventure Party

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  3. Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

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  • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

    Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

    No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

    But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

    Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

    So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

    Paul_IPv6P This user is from outside of this forum
    Paul_IPv6P This user is from outside of this forum
    Paul_IPv6
    wrote last edited by
    #96

    @cstross

    there is nothing more guaranteed for pygmy ponies on springs to be sold as anti-gravity unicorns with lasers than an IPO road show for tech....

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • Woozle HypertwinW Woozle Hypertwin

      @jb I don't approve of capitalism occupying Earth orbit; my point was that (at least according to Manley, and what I do understand of physics and orbital mechanics) it's not implausible that what the Muskrat is doing here is actually sensible from a capitalist standpoint.

      His whole existence is a grift, and he needs to be stopped, but this particular part of it seems far less of a con than (e.g.) the "cybertruck".

      @cstross

      Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
      Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
      Charlie Stross
      wrote last edited by
      #97

      @woozle @jb Tough luck: all we've got in orbit today is capitalism, plus a couple of government-funded puppet shows showcasing "space science" while paying huge back-handers to corporations.

      This is the reason we can't have nice things. (I prefer the term "crapitalism" to "enshittification", but you get the picture either way.)

      Woozle HypertwinW 1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

        @ApostateEnglishman "None of the big ideas ever materialize" except the launcher with the payload of the space shuttle at $12M/flight that is *more reusable* than the shuttle ( 8 day turnaround between flights! 50 reuses per booster and climbing!) or disrupting the car industry by making EVs sexy. Or the low orbit comsat cluster.

        Most of his bullshit evaporates on close inspection or goes wrong—but enough of it works to keep everything afloat.

        (Shun anything he says about software, though.)

        MidgePhotoP This user is from outside of this forum
        MidgePhotoP This user is from outside of this forum
        MidgePhoto
        wrote last edited by
        #98

        @cstross The Sleight Doctor 🃏
        The innovation wasn't the cars.
        It was implementing a transport _system_
        Now once there is a system of a supply network for recharging, and vehicles to recharge, other people will do it, and eventually as commodities and better.

        The thing with Spacex wasn't launches and missions, it was a transport _system_.

        Now, what is the complete system being floated?

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

          @FaithfullJohn Well yes, but we need to criticize it because it's bullshit: "rational and responsible use" have nothing to do with the stock market.

          John Faithfull 🌍🇪🇺🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🧡✊🏻✊🏿F This user is from outside of this forum
          John Faithfull 🌍🇪🇺🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🧡✊🏻✊🏿F This user is from outside of this forum
          John Faithfull 🌍🇪🇺🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🧡✊🏻✊🏿
          wrote last edited by
          #99

          @cstross Indeed ☹️ 🤬

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

            @woozle @jb Tough luck: all we've got in orbit today is capitalism, plus a couple of government-funded puppet shows showcasing "space science" while paying huge back-handers to corporations.

            This is the reason we can't have nice things. (I prefer the term "crapitalism" to "enshittification", but you get the picture either way.)

            Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
            Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
            Woozle Hypertwin
            wrote last edited by
            #100

            @cstross Indeed, I know -- it's where we are now.

            Perhaps not too late to stop it from metastasizing, but it's going to be a hard battle.

            @jb

            Charlie StrossC 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • Woozle HypertwinW Woozle Hypertwin

              @cstross Indeed, I know -- it's where we are now.

              Perhaps not too late to stop it from metastasizing, but it's going to be a hard battle.

              @jb

              Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
              Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
              Charlie Stross
              wrote last edited by
              #101

              @woozle @jb

              Capitalism is a self-limiting problem.

              (Whether it limits *us* at the same time is an open question for the time being.)

              Woozle HypertwinW 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                @woozle @jb

                Capitalism is a self-limiting problem.

                (Whether it limits *us* at the same time is an open question for the time being.)

                Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                Woozle HypertwinW This user is from outside of this forum
                Woozle Hypertwin
                wrote last edited by
                #102

                @cstross ...as with any cancer or parasite... @jb

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                  @raymaccarthy @oldgeek @lucien The point of starlink is low latency, which means low orbit. Which in turn requires lots of them to ensure there are no gaps in coverage. (And now they're working on satellite-to-satellite high bandwidth laser mesh networking to increase capacity.)

                  I think you underestimate the scale of aviation and shipping, not to mention railway transport.

                  Ray McCarthyR This user is from outside of this forum
                  Ray McCarthyR This user is from outside of this forum
                  Ray McCarthy
                  wrote last edited by
                  #103

                  @cstross @oldgeek @lucien
                  No, I don't because I was RF R&D in an ISP with fibre, mobile, Fixed Wireless and Satellite. They also had datacentres.

                  Railway is better served by Cellular.

                  Obviously in LEO you need a load to have continuous coverage, but to do the equivalent of rural fibre or cellular for trains you need orders of magnitude more.

                  Even cellular is being done badly due to too big cells and regulatory capture. I've dealt with the Irish regulator, Comreg.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                    Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                    No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                    But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                    Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                    So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                    Nicole ParsonsN This user is from outside of this forum
                    Nicole ParsonsN This user is from outside of this forum
                    Nicole Parsons
                    wrote last edited by
                    #104

                    @cstross

                    Elon Musk very rarely actually builds what he promotes.

                    He is a traitorous money laundering conduit for petrostate despots.
                    https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/oct/25/elon-musk-has-been-in-regular-contact-with-putin-for-two-years-say-reports

                    Link Preview Image
                    Photos show Elon Musk hanging out with Jared Kushner at the World Cup final

                    Elon Musk was spotted with Donald Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, at the World Cup final Sunday. This comes as Congress is investigating Kushner.

                    favicon

                    Business Insider (www.businessinsider.com)

                    https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2025/05/13/trump-tech-execs-riyadh/

                    https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/19/tech/saudi-arabia-us-chips-ai-race

                    Link Preview Image
                    Why top tech CEOs joined Trump on his trip to Saudi Arabia

                    Several major tech CEOs joined President Trump on his trip to Saudi Arabia this week. It's part of a thaw in the once-strained relationship between Big Tech and the oil-rich state.

                    favicon

                    NPR (www.npr.org)

                    Even his investors like Larry Ellison, Putin, & Alwaleed bin Talal recognize his utility in corrupting elections for the richest fascists on the planet.

                    Musk facilitates mass financial frauds.

                    That's it, that's all he does, defraud.

                    1/

                    Nicole ParsonsN Jim FlanaganJ 2 Replies Last reply
                    0
                    • Nicole ParsonsN Nicole Parsons

                      @cstross

                      Elon Musk very rarely actually builds what he promotes.

                      He is a traitorous money laundering conduit for petrostate despots.
                      https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/oct/25/elon-musk-has-been-in-regular-contact-with-putin-for-two-years-say-reports

                      Link Preview Image
                      Photos show Elon Musk hanging out with Jared Kushner at the World Cup final

                      Elon Musk was spotted with Donald Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, at the World Cup final Sunday. This comes as Congress is investigating Kushner.

                      favicon

                      Business Insider (www.businessinsider.com)

                      https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2025/05/13/trump-tech-execs-riyadh/

                      https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/19/tech/saudi-arabia-us-chips-ai-race

                      Link Preview Image
                      Why top tech CEOs joined Trump on his trip to Saudi Arabia

                      Several major tech CEOs joined President Trump on his trip to Saudi Arabia this week. It's part of a thaw in the once-strained relationship between Big Tech and the oil-rich state.

                      favicon

                      NPR (www.npr.org)

                      Even his investors like Larry Ellison, Putin, & Alwaleed bin Talal recognize his utility in corrupting elections for the richest fascists on the planet.

                      Musk facilitates mass financial frauds.

                      That's it, that's all he does, defraud.

                      1/

                      Nicole ParsonsN This user is from outside of this forum
                      Nicole ParsonsN This user is from outside of this forum
                      Nicole Parsons
                      wrote last edited by
                      #105

                      2/

                      Musk's List of "Failure to Deliver" frauds:

                      1. Man on Mars
                      2. Hyperloop train
                      3. Robotics
                      4. xAI achieving AGI
                      5. Flying cars
                      6. DOGE 'efficiencies'
                      7. Lunar tourism
                      8. No covid
                      9. Candy

                      Attention Required! | Cloudflare

                      favicon

                      (qz.com)

                      Link Preview Image
                      Everything Elon Musk promised in 2025, but didn't deliver

                      Elon Musk made many 2025 promises that he couldn't keep.

                      favicon

                      Mashable (mashable.com)

                      Musk's actually delivered:
                      1. The largest data breaches in US history
                      2. Joined the military industrial complex
                      3. A fossil fuel funded fascist alliance
                      4. Kleptocracy
                      5. Can foment far right riots with a single tweet
                      6. Mass hate campaigns for Nazis

                      Nasher 🦓N Petr SkálaP 2 Replies Last reply
                      0
                      • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                        Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                        No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                        But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                        Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                        So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                        Richard W. Woodley ELBOWS UP    🇨🇦🌹🚴‍♂️📷 🗺️T This user is from outside of this forum
                        Richard W. Woodley ELBOWS UP    🇨🇦🌹🚴‍♂️📷 🗺️T This user is from outside of this forum
                        Richard W. Woodley ELBOWS UP 🇨🇦🌹🚴‍♂️📷 🗺️
                        wrote last edited by
                        #106

                        @cstross

                        About as brilliant idea as the Cybertruck was.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • Nicole ParsonsN Nicole Parsons

                          2/

                          Musk's List of "Failure to Deliver" frauds:

                          1. Man on Mars
                          2. Hyperloop train
                          3. Robotics
                          4. xAI achieving AGI
                          5. Flying cars
                          6. DOGE 'efficiencies'
                          7. Lunar tourism
                          8. No covid
                          9. Candy

                          Attention Required! | Cloudflare

                          favicon

                          (qz.com)

                          Link Preview Image
                          Everything Elon Musk promised in 2025, but didn't deliver

                          Elon Musk made many 2025 promises that he couldn't keep.

                          favicon

                          Mashable (mashable.com)

                          Musk's actually delivered:
                          1. The largest data breaches in US history
                          2. Joined the military industrial complex
                          3. A fossil fuel funded fascist alliance
                          4. Kleptocracy
                          5. Can foment far right riots with a single tweet
                          6. Mass hate campaigns for Nazis

                          Nasher 🦓N This user is from outside of this forum
                          Nasher 🦓N This user is from outside of this forum
                          Nasher 🦓
                          wrote last edited by
                          #107

                          @Npars01 You forgot the traffic-less tunnels in your "failure to deliver" list 🤭

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • Nicole ParsonsN Nicole Parsons

                            @cstross

                            Elon Musk very rarely actually builds what he promotes.

                            He is a traitorous money laundering conduit for petrostate despots.
                            https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/oct/25/elon-musk-has-been-in-regular-contact-with-putin-for-two-years-say-reports

                            Link Preview Image
                            Photos show Elon Musk hanging out with Jared Kushner at the World Cup final

                            Elon Musk was spotted with Donald Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, at the World Cup final Sunday. This comes as Congress is investigating Kushner.

                            favicon

                            Business Insider (www.businessinsider.com)

                            https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2025/05/13/trump-tech-execs-riyadh/

                            https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/19/tech/saudi-arabia-us-chips-ai-race

                            Link Preview Image
                            Why top tech CEOs joined Trump on his trip to Saudi Arabia

                            Several major tech CEOs joined President Trump on his trip to Saudi Arabia this week. It's part of a thaw in the once-strained relationship between Big Tech and the oil-rich state.

                            favicon

                            NPR (www.npr.org)

                            Even his investors like Larry Ellison, Putin, & Alwaleed bin Talal recognize his utility in corrupting elections for the richest fascists on the planet.

                            Musk facilitates mass financial frauds.

                            That's it, that's all he does, defraud.

                            1/

                            Jim FlanaganJ This user is from outside of this forum
                            Jim FlanaganJ This user is from outside of this forum
                            Jim Flanagan
                            wrote last edited by
                            #108

                            @Npars01 @cstross And if it somehow manages to get built, it was despite Musk, not because of. They literally have to wall shit off from him in order to get things accomplished

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • Nicole ParsonsN Nicole Parsons

                              2/

                              Musk's List of "Failure to Deliver" frauds:

                              1. Man on Mars
                              2. Hyperloop train
                              3. Robotics
                              4. xAI achieving AGI
                              5. Flying cars
                              6. DOGE 'efficiencies'
                              7. Lunar tourism
                              8. No covid
                              9. Candy

                              Attention Required! | Cloudflare

                              favicon

                              (qz.com)

                              Link Preview Image
                              Everything Elon Musk promised in 2025, but didn't deliver

                              Elon Musk made many 2025 promises that he couldn't keep.

                              favicon

                              Mashable (mashable.com)

                              Musk's actually delivered:
                              1. The largest data breaches in US history
                              2. Joined the military industrial complex
                              3. A fossil fuel funded fascist alliance
                              4. Kleptocracy
                              5. Can foment far right riots with a single tweet
                              6. Mass hate campaigns for Nazis

                              Petr SkálaP This user is from outside of this forum
                              Petr SkálaP This user is from outside of this forum
                              Petr Skála
                              wrote last edited by
                              #109

                              @Npars01 👍👍👍

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • D'Arcy Norman 🇨🇦D D'Arcy Norman 🇨🇦

                                @bornach @bellegraylane @cstross just waiting for The Boring Company to pivot to AI…

                                bellegraylaneB This user is from outside of this forum
                                bellegraylaneB This user is from outside of this forum
                                bellegraylane
                                wrote last edited by
                                #110

                                @dnorman @bornach @cstross AI tunnels should be interesting. Hallucinating into bedrock sounds expensive.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • Bruno NicolettiB Bruno Nicoletti

                                  @cstross It was obvious bollocks (just like hyperloop, the boring company etc…), just I didn’t know why he was boosting it as I didn’t realise he was planning an IPO this year. Tosser.

                                  David SP This user is from outside of this forum
                                  David SP This user is from outside of this forum
                                  David S
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #111

                                  @bjn @cstross and despite being shown to repeatedly over promise and under delivery, the markets will no doubt lap it up anyway.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • Cadbury MooseC Cadbury Moose

                                    @Uilebheist @cstross

                                    (Some) lawyers can (and will, if paid enough) argue against physics, but their chance of winning (other than the money you're paying them) is less than infinitesimal. (They're hoping they will be paid more than they get sanctioned for.)

                                    Arnd LayerI This user is from outside of this forum
                                    Arnd LayerI This user is from outside of this forum
                                    Arnd Layer
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #112

                                    @Cadbury_Moose
                                    In my experience, those lawyers are called politicians 😉

                                    @Uilebheist @cstross

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                                      Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                                      No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                                      But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                                      Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                                      So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                                      DaveyD This user is from outside of this forum
                                      DaveyD This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Davey
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #113

                                      @cstross this applies to every company that mentions data centres in space.

                                      Most tech "journalists" seem hesitant to ask basic questions about this shit because what if they start having to ask basic questions about everything. Sounds like a lot of work!

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                                        Because a LOT of people are missing the point:

                                        No, Elon Musk is NOT serious about putting a million data centres into orbit. It can't work: laws of physics say "nope".

                                        But SpaceX is expected to go public this year.

                                        Elon is talking up his company's future prospects in front of gullible investors because he needs a growth narrative beyond Starlink, which is already priced in. Something to justify the Starship proram beyond NASA's lunar ambitions.

                                        So it's salesman's bullshit, lies for fools.

                                        Mark T. TomczakM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        Mark T. TomczakM This user is from outside of this forum
                                        Mark T. Tomczak
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #114

                                        @cstross The most compelling argument I've heard for putting datacenters in space (in the "didn't immediately discount it as a stupid idea but took some time to engage with it" sense) was from Scott Manley, notorious fan of everything space-related, and even he concluded that it only makes sense as an end-run around terrestrial regulation (i.e. it's a stupid and expensive idea but in the grand scheme of markets it may be cheaper than "buying enough politicians to steal a community's water rights out from under them so you can get the permits to build on land").

                                        Which... Yeah, when that's the forcing function, maybe we tech folk should sit and have a think about the entire project.

                                        rk: could be an enumR ghost boomannB 2 Replies Last reply
                                        0
                                        • Mark T. TomczakM Mark T. Tomczak

                                          @cstross The most compelling argument I've heard for putting datacenters in space (in the "didn't immediately discount it as a stupid idea but took some time to engage with it" sense) was from Scott Manley, notorious fan of everything space-related, and even he concluded that it only makes sense as an end-run around terrestrial regulation (i.e. it's a stupid and expensive idea but in the grand scheme of markets it may be cheaper than "buying enough politicians to steal a community's water rights out from under them so you can get the permits to build on land").

                                          Which... Yeah, when that's the forcing function, maybe we tech folk should sit and have a think about the entire project.

                                          rk: could be an enumR This user is from outside of this forum
                                          rk: could be an enumR This user is from outside of this forum
                                          rk: could be an enum
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #115

                                          @mark @cstross

                                          Like, we already have trouble keeping things cool in space and there’s also the whole “space is a deadly laser” radiation thing. I really can’t imagine how there’d be any benefit to putting a data center in space. Like, at all.

                                          Mark T. TomczakM 1 Reply Last reply
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