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  3. Mark Carney’s first budget projects $78B deficit, program and civil service cuts

Mark Carney’s first budget projects $78B deficit, program and civil service cuts

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Canada
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  • R Rentlar

    The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.

    I This user is from outside of this forum
    I This user is from outside of this forum
    immersivematthew@sh.itjust.works
    wrote on last edited by
    #68

    Wow…that is roughly $2000 per Canadian.

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    1
    • R Rentlar

      The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.

      J This user is from outside of this forum
      J This user is from outside of this forum
      jhex@lemmy.world
      wrote on last edited by
      #69

      No more private planes tax, no more capital gains tax… middle and lower class Canadians to foot the bill for this “investment”

      This is trickle down economics with a tik tok song in the background

      1 Reply Last reply
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      • M MyBrainHurts

        No, that’s not at all how that works.

        At all.

        P This user is from outside of this forum
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        patatas@sh.itjust.works
        wrote last edited by
        #70

        Sorry, but if the first claim is that government spending is inflationary, then there’s no way to claim that taxes aren’t disinflationary.

        M 1 Reply Last reply
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        • P patatas@sh.itjust.works

          Sorry, but if the first claim is that government spending is inflationary, then there’s no way to claim that taxes aren’t disinflationary.

          M This user is from outside of this forum
          M This user is from outside of this forum
          MyBrainHurts
          wrote last edited by
          #71

          Lol, wait, what?

          Just… Walk me through how you think this would work, say as Canada’s inflation rate hit 8% in summer 2022. Who would you have taxed, what would you have done with said taxes and why you think this would somehow lower inflation?

          P 1 Reply Last reply
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          • M MyBrainHurts

            Lol, wait, what?

            Just… Walk me through how you think this would work, say as Canada’s inflation rate hit 8% in summer 2022. Who would you have taxed, what would you have done with said taxes and why you think this would somehow lower inflation?

            P This user is from outside of this forum
            P This user is from outside of this forum
            patatas@sh.itjust.works
            wrote last edited by
            #72

            Link Preview Image
            Ever heard of modern monetary theory?

            It’s a way of thinking about the economy. Picture a bathroom sink …

            favicon

            (www.marketplace.org)

            Really just linking this for the diagrams, which are the most succinct explanation for this that I know of - but this is the theoretical basis for what I am talking about

            M 1 Reply Last reply
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            • P patatas@sh.itjust.works

              Link Preview Image
              Ever heard of modern monetary theory?

              It’s a way of thinking about the economy. Picture a bathroom sink …

              favicon

              (www.marketplace.org)

              Really just linking this for the diagrams, which are the most succinct explanation for this that I know of - but this is the theoretical basis for what I am talking about

              M This user is from outside of this forum
              M This user is from outside of this forum
              MyBrainHurts
              wrote last edited by
              #73

              I get the misunderstanding now! I figured it was something similar to this, which is why I asked whom you would tax and what you would do with the taxes.

              So, a handful of things. First, this is a theory that is pretty much rejected by almost every mainstream economist (it’s rare you see both the Chicago school of economics and Paul Krugman on the same side but here we are.) You might take a quick google at Modern Monetary Theory critiques.

              But, ignoring that, if you dive into the theory a bit, you’ll see it doesn’t work as you’ve outlined. Looking back to your original point “Dollars are not scarce items; the government can issue currency essentially at will. Taxes aren’t there to fund services. They exist to reduce inequality.”

              In the MMT, taxes both fund services (say, the CERB) as well as help stabilize inflation. So, in your CERB example, sure, government prints a bunch of money which would cause inflation and then, you’re now saying the government should just tax it back to get to a neutral rate. Which, fine, tax the CERB back. But then what was the point of issuing it in the first place? If the answer is “well we just tax the rich” then what’s the point of printing a bunch of currency instead of just using the tax proceeds from the rich?

              To quote Kelton:

              That means the government then has to start slowing it’s rate of spending, or you can open up the drain and let some of those dollars out of the economy. And that’s what we do when we collect taxes.

              So, to stop the inflation caused by government spending on CERB, we just tax the money back and hold onto it (instead of using it on services, otherwise you’re back to the same inflationary pressures.) In essence, you’ve just changed all the programs from help to those who needed it, to a predatory loan.

              P 1 Reply Last reply
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              • M MyBrainHurts

                I get the misunderstanding now! I figured it was something similar to this, which is why I asked whom you would tax and what you would do with the taxes.

                So, a handful of things. First, this is a theory that is pretty much rejected by almost every mainstream economist (it’s rare you see both the Chicago school of economics and Paul Krugman on the same side but here we are.) You might take a quick google at Modern Monetary Theory critiques.

                But, ignoring that, if you dive into the theory a bit, you’ll see it doesn’t work as you’ve outlined. Looking back to your original point “Dollars are not scarce items; the government can issue currency essentially at will. Taxes aren’t there to fund services. They exist to reduce inequality.”

                In the MMT, taxes both fund services (say, the CERB) as well as help stabilize inflation. So, in your CERB example, sure, government prints a bunch of money which would cause inflation and then, you’re now saying the government should just tax it back to get to a neutral rate. Which, fine, tax the CERB back. But then what was the point of issuing it in the first place? If the answer is “well we just tax the rich” then what’s the point of printing a bunch of currency instead of just using the tax proceeds from the rich?

                To quote Kelton:

                That means the government then has to start slowing it’s rate of spending, or you can open up the drain and let some of those dollars out of the economy. And that’s what we do when we collect taxes.

                So, to stop the inflation caused by government spending on CERB, we just tax the money back and hold onto it (instead of using it on services, otherwise you’re back to the same inflationary pressures.) In essence, you’ve just changed all the programs from help to those who needed it, to a predatory loan.

                P This user is from outside of this forum
                P This user is from outside of this forum
                patatas@sh.itjust.works
                wrote last edited by
                #74

                Krugman has come around on it over the last few years actually, through discussions with noted MMT proponents Rohan Grey and Nathan Tankus. So you might want to search for more recent stuff.

                In the MMT, taxes both fund services

                incorrect, in MMT taxes remove money from the economy

                In your CERB example, there are a lot of factors involved. One is that there really were supply chain disruptions as spending shifted from services to material goods, combined with a lot of intentional price gouging as inflation narratives took hold.

                Neither these phenomena nor the disinflationary effect of taxation are immediate or direct in their effects, so I definitely feel for policymakers when crises like these hit.

                But we’re now very far from the original point, and you seem to be pointing to an exceptional circumstance to try to prove a generality, as well as trying to claim I’m saying things about that exceptional circumstance that haven’t said.

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                • P patatas@sh.itjust.works

                  Krugman has come around on it over the last few years actually, through discussions with noted MMT proponents Rohan Grey and Nathan Tankus. So you might want to search for more recent stuff.

                  In the MMT, taxes both fund services

                  incorrect, in MMT taxes remove money from the economy

                  In your CERB example, there are a lot of factors involved. One is that there really were supply chain disruptions as spending shifted from services to material goods, combined with a lot of intentional price gouging as inflation narratives took hold.

                  Neither these phenomena nor the disinflationary effect of taxation are immediate or direct in their effects, so I definitely feel for policymakers when crises like these hit.

                  But we’re now very far from the original point, and you seem to be pointing to an exceptional circumstance to try to prove a generality, as well as trying to claim I’m saying things about that exceptional circumstance that haven’t said.

                  M This user is from outside of this forum
                  M This user is from outside of this forum
                  MyBrainHurts
                  wrote last edited by
                  #75

                  Krugman has come around on it over the last few years actually, through discussions with noted MMT proponents Rohan Grey and Nathan Tankus

                  Can you share anything to this end? I’ve looked and found a couple of interviews with Tankus but nothing that at a glance would seem to change Krugman’s assertion that MMT is essentially Calvinball. (I’d rather not read through all their chats.)

                  But we’re now very far from the original point, and you seem to be pointing to an exceptional circumstance to try to prove a generality

                  Pal, you were the one to bring up Covid/CERB as your first defense of printing money!

                  It’s literally how we dealt with the first phase of the Covid pandemic. Was keeping millions of Canadians from being evicted a bad idea?

                  But at the end of the day, whether the program happened in a pandemic or not, the core issue remains. Governments have deficits to cover spending, e.g., on public servant salaries. According to MMT, this isn’t an issue because you just print money to pay your debts and then tax money out of the system to prevent inflation. Which, groovy but that spending was there for a reason! Like, okay, keep the salaries but then what, just tax everyone else more? You’ve just created austerity with more steps.

                  P 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • M MyBrainHurts

                    Krugman has come around on it over the last few years actually, through discussions with noted MMT proponents Rohan Grey and Nathan Tankus

                    Can you share anything to this end? I’ve looked and found a couple of interviews with Tankus but nothing that at a glance would seem to change Krugman’s assertion that MMT is essentially Calvinball. (I’d rather not read through all their chats.)

                    But we’re now very far from the original point, and you seem to be pointing to an exceptional circumstance to try to prove a generality

                    Pal, you were the one to bring up Covid/CERB as your first defense of printing money!

                    It’s literally how we dealt with the first phase of the Covid pandemic. Was keeping millions of Canadians from being evicted a bad idea?

                    But at the end of the day, whether the program happened in a pandemic or not, the core issue remains. Governments have deficits to cover spending, e.g., on public servant salaries. According to MMT, this isn’t an issue because you just print money to pay your debts and then tax money out of the system to prevent inflation. Which, groovy but that spending was there for a reason! Like, okay, keep the salaries but then what, just tax everyone else more? You’ve just created austerity with more steps.

                    P This user is from outside of this forum
                    P This user is from outside of this forum
                    patatas@sh.itjust.works
                    wrote last edited by patatas@sh.itjust.works
                    #76

                    Tankus has blogged about Krugman’s evolution.

                    And my “defense of printing money” was not a judgement about the inflationary pressure of doing so, it was a recognition that there are more things to consider - such as the risk of millions of people being evicted from their homes or going hungry.

                    You’re still trying to put words in my mouth, and you’re not engaging earnestly, so, goodbye

                    (edit: typo)

                    M 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • P patatas@sh.itjust.works

                      Tankus has blogged about Krugman’s evolution.

                      And my “defense of printing money” was not a judgement about the inflationary pressure of doing so, it was a recognition that there are more things to consider - such as the risk of millions of people being evicted from their homes or going hungry.

                      You’re still trying to put words in my mouth, and you’re not engaging earnestly, so, goodbye

                      (edit: typo)

                      M This user is from outside of this forum
                      M This user is from outside of this forum
                      MyBrainHurts
                      wrote last edited by
                      #77

                      Tankus has blogged about Krugman’s evolution.

                      So nothing from Krugman himself? Seems reasonable…

                      You’re still trying to put words in my mouth,

                      Lol, yes by quoting you and adding the exact context.

                      I strongly recommend, just give a quick look at any of the dozens well rounded critiques of MMT. Some may be a little obtuse if you don’t have an econ background but feel free to reach out and i’ll explain as best I can!

                      Cheers.

                      P 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • M MyBrainHurts

                        Tankus has blogged about Krugman’s evolution.

                        So nothing from Krugman himself? Seems reasonable…

                        You’re still trying to put words in my mouth,

                        Lol, yes by quoting you and adding the exact context.

                        I strongly recommend, just give a quick look at any of the dozens well rounded critiques of MMT. Some may be a little obtuse if you don’t have an econ background but feel free to reach out and i’ll explain as best I can!

                        Cheers.

                        P This user is from outside of this forum
                        P This user is from outside of this forum
                        patatas@sh.itjust.works
                        wrote last edited by
                        #78

                        I am pointing to Tankus’ blog because he outlines the things Krugman has said.

                        Second: would you have not issued CERB and had millions lose housing? Or would you issue CERB and accept some inflationary pressure (keeping in mind that much of the inflation was gouging and supply chain issues)? You had made a blanket statement “issuing currency is drinking bleach” and I gave one of many possible examples for why that is a ridiculous statement.

                        And in terms of your arrogance around understanding what you’re talking about:

                        “Taxes fund services” is flat out wrong from a MMT perspective, quite literally it is the most fundamentally wrong thing one could say about it as an economic framework, so I suggest you develop a better understanding of the thing you claim to understand the critiques of. Or perhaps read critiques from those who actually understand it.

                        Cheers

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