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  3. Mark Carney’s first budget projects $78B deficit, program and civil service cuts

Mark Carney’s first budget projects $78B deficit, program and civil service cuts

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Canada
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  • M MyBrainHurts

    Covid, and emergencies like it, are entirely the point of fiscal responsibility!

    In an emergency, you can max out your credit. If you do that on the regular, for non emergencies, not only will you end up paying an absurd amount of interest, but you won’t be able to borrow more when the next emergency happens!

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    patatas@sh.itjust.works
    wrote on last edited by
    #53

    Great ok so we at least agree that issuing currency is not the fiscal equivalent of drinking bleach, and that there are good and bad reasons to do it.

    M 1 Reply Last reply
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    • P patatas@sh.itjust.works

      Great ok so we at least agree that issuing currency is not the fiscal equivalent of drinking bleach, and that there are good and bad reasons to do it.

      M This user is from outside of this forum
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      MyBrainHurts
      wrote on last edited by mybrainhurts@piefed.ca
      #54

      Dollars are not scarce items; the government can issue currency essentially at will.

      Edit: You CAN drink a small amount of bleach. Just like you CAN print money during a generational event.

      A small amount of bleach will burn a bit. A small amount of printing money caused inflation that we also haven’t seen in decades. It hurts families now but that’s the price we paid to help during covid.

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      • R Rentlar

        The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.

        circav@lemmy.caC This user is from outside of this forum
        circav@lemmy.caC This user is from outside of this forum
        circav@lemmy.ca
        wrote on last edited by
        #55

        This budget is ass.

        1 Reply Last reply
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        • R Rentlar

          I mean, that’s how a lot of Canadian politics works… “passed because no one really hated it”…

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          nouveau_burnswick@lemmy.world
          wrote on last edited by
          #56

          That’s how all politics works. You can’t make everyone happy, so you just try to make every less unhappy.

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • M MyBrainHurts

            Which services are you thinking of?

            The major thing I’ve seen is reducing the number of public sector employees back to 2020 levels, which doesn’t seem wild. (I haven’t seen a good explanation of why we needed to increase the public sector by 20% since then, nor of what we got out of that. If you have anything, I’d love to read it!) Throw in some reductions of outside consultants etc…

            There are undoubtedly some programs getting cut. But given we’re teetering on the edge of an adversary induced recession, that doesn’t seem unsreasonable.

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            nouveau_burnswick@lemmy.world
            wrote on last edited by
            #57

            Generally speaking, reducing public servants increases consultancy requirements, not reduces.

            If you don’t have someone with the capabilites/skills/corporate knowledge/experince/capacity to do X thing on the payroll, then you need to hire a consultant to do it.

            Now obviously I couldn’t tell you what ministry/department/etc needs, but let’s take the Alto contract as an isolated example.

            We don’t have any rail expertise in government at all, so we need to consult it in, and we pay a premium for that. In the lens of a single rail project, that makes a a lot of sense, we aren’t paying payroll and maintaining expertise for a once in a generation project.

            The alternative is having something like a national rail crown corp or department, like SNCF in France. Now all the experience is at the national level whenever you need it. SNCF has a lot more staff, planning, and engineering capacity than it requires; so that gets farmed out to regions and municipalities to help them with their rail/metro/tram projects. This is instead of each of them needing consultants, driving up the costs for municipal governments/capital projects.

            In this manner increased federal spending becomes an accelerant for other levels of government and reduces regional and municipal spending, and thus the overall tax burden for everyone.

            So if we had something like SNCF then the Alto project might cost a little more, but the Vancouver, Edmonton, Calgary, Ottawa, Toronto, and Montréal recent/ongoing lines would be cheaper; plus medium cities like Victoria, Winnipeg, Québec City, and Halifax would have rail projects in their reach; and smaller cities like Red Deer, Regina, Thunder Bay, Kingston, Trois Rivières, and Fredericton would have tram projects in their reach.

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            • M MyBrainHurts

              Again, that’s a fine and valid critique of the budget.

              The fundamental flaw is equating corporate efficiency with public effectiveness…

              This position however, does not seem valid when the budget is putting in more than it removes from actual public services, 51 billion v 13.

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              Kindness is Punk
              wrote on last edited by
              #58

              That part wasn’t a critique of the budget, it was a critique of your pitch for efficiency. You pivoted the discussion, I followed.

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              • M MyBrainHurts

                Dollars are not scarce items; the government can issue currency essentially at will.

                Edit: You CAN drink a small amount of bleach. Just like you CAN print money during a generational event.

                A small amount of bleach will burn a bit. A small amount of printing money caused inflation that we also haven’t seen in decades. It hurts families now but that’s the price we paid to help during covid.

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                patatas@sh.itjust.works
                wrote on last edited by
                #59

                Taxes, then, are disinflationary, right? Which is why we need to tax the rich especially

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                • M MyBrainHurts

                  removing the carbon cap saying that investments in several sectors would reduce the emissions anyway. A lot of wishful thinking on the budget text, or on the worst case mental gymnastics malice.

                  A lot of this is through keeping and raising a carbon tax. That makes companies find the most efficient ways to reduce their footprints, rather than the government mandating it for each group. This is the approach favoured by most serious economists and think groups about reducing emissions quickly.

                  without details what kind of investment they are putting money in

                  You can look at the “nation building” projects, which include a massive wind farm (green as hell) and a nuclear plant (fairly clean, significantly better than say, oil or gas.)

                  K This user is from outside of this forum
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                  kent_eh@lemmy.ca
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #60

                  That makes companies find the most efficient ways to reduce their footprints, rather than the government mandating it for each group. This is the approach favoured by most serious economists

                  And it is the approach Carney favored in his book (which was written several years before he decided to run for office)

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                  • K kent_eh@lemmy.ca

                    That makes companies find the most efficient ways to reduce their footprints, rather than the government mandating it for each group. This is the approach favoured by most serious economists

                    And it is the approach Carney favored in his book (which was written several years before he decided to run for office)

                    M This user is from outside of this forum
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                    MyBrainHurts
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #61

                    Not at all surprised to hear that! (The book is sitting on my shelf, unread and judging me.)

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • P patatas@sh.itjust.works

                      Taxes, then, are disinflationary, right? Which is why we need to tax the rich especially

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                      MyBrainHurts
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #62

                      No, that’s not at all how that works.

                      At all.

                      P 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • K Kindness is Punk

                        That part wasn’t a critique of the budget, it was a critique of your pitch for efficiency. You pivoted the discussion, I followed.

                        M This user is from outside of this forum
                        M This user is from outside of this forum
                        MyBrainHurts
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #63

                        Maybe re-read what you reaponded to?

                        It’s pretty nonsensical to claim that because you’re providing a public good you can’t do so more effectively.

                        K 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • N nouveau_burnswick@lemmy.world

                          Generally speaking, reducing public servants increases consultancy requirements, not reduces.

                          If you don’t have someone with the capabilites/skills/corporate knowledge/experince/capacity to do X thing on the payroll, then you need to hire a consultant to do it.

                          Now obviously I couldn’t tell you what ministry/department/etc needs, but let’s take the Alto contract as an isolated example.

                          We don’t have any rail expertise in government at all, so we need to consult it in, and we pay a premium for that. In the lens of a single rail project, that makes a a lot of sense, we aren’t paying payroll and maintaining expertise for a once in a generation project.

                          The alternative is having something like a national rail crown corp or department, like SNCF in France. Now all the experience is at the national level whenever you need it. SNCF has a lot more staff, planning, and engineering capacity than it requires; so that gets farmed out to regions and municipalities to help them with their rail/metro/tram projects. This is instead of each of them needing consultants, driving up the costs for municipal governments/capital projects.

                          In this manner increased federal spending becomes an accelerant for other levels of government and reduces regional and municipal spending, and thus the overall tax burden for everyone.

                          So if we had something like SNCF then the Alto project might cost a little more, but the Vancouver, Edmonton, Calgary, Ottawa, Toronto, and Montréal recent/ongoing lines would be cheaper; plus medium cities like Victoria, Winnipeg, Québec City, and Halifax would have rail projects in their reach; and smaller cities like Red Deer, Regina, Thunder Bay, Kingston, Trois Rivières, and Fredericton would have tram projects in their reach.

                          M This user is from outside of this forum
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                          MyBrainHurts
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #64

                          It’s not like we’d have rail experts on the public payroll just sitting around.

                          And one of the mandates is to reduce consultancies (in large part because there’s been a lucrative pipeline of folks going through the public service, retiring, and then acting as consultants at a much inflated wage.)

                          Are all consultancies unnecessary? Absolutely not! But have all of them been necessary? Again, ask anyone who has worked in any sort of governmental agency and they’ll laugh as they regale you. (I still don’t know wether to laugh or cry at the guy who earned hundreds of thousands with the recommendation of “you should use this basic microsoft product.”)

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                          • M MyBrainHurts

                            Maybe re-read what you reaponded to?

                            It’s pretty nonsensical to claim that because you’re providing a public good you can’t do so more effectively.

                            K This user is from outside of this forum
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                            Kindness is Punk
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #65

                            Nah I’m good dude, don’t have the energy, you can have this one.

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                            • K Kindness is Punk

                              Nah I’m good dude, don’t have the energy, you can have this one.

                              M This user is from outside of this forum
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                              MyBrainHurts
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #66

                              Phew, I was thinking the same. I have no idea what you are trying to say.

                              Cheers.

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                              • R Rentlar

                                The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.

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                                slartybartfast@sh.itjust.works
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #67

                                Awesome!

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                                • R Rentlar

                                  The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.

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                                  I This user is from outside of this forum
                                  immersivematthew@sh.itjust.works
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #68

                                  Wow…that is roughly $2000 per Canadian.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • R Rentlar

                                    The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.

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                                    J This user is from outside of this forum
                                    jhex@lemmy.world
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #69

                                    No more private planes tax, no more capital gains tax… middle and lower class Canadians to foot the bill for this “investment”

                                    This is trickle down economics with a tik tok song in the background

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                                    • M MyBrainHurts

                                      No, that’s not at all how that works.

                                      At all.

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                                      patatas@sh.itjust.works
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #70

                                      Sorry, but if the first claim is that government spending is inflationary, then there’s no way to claim that taxes aren’t disinflationary.

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                                      • P patatas@sh.itjust.works

                                        Sorry, but if the first claim is that government spending is inflationary, then there’s no way to claim that taxes aren’t disinflationary.

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                                        MyBrainHurts
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #71

                                        Lol, wait, what?

                                        Just… Walk me through how you think this would work, say as Canada’s inflation rate hit 8% in summer 2022. Who would you have taxed, what would you have done with said taxes and why you think this would somehow lower inflation?

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                                        • M MyBrainHurts

                                          Lol, wait, what?

                                          Just… Walk me through how you think this would work, say as Canada’s inflation rate hit 8% in summer 2022. Who would you have taxed, what would you have done with said taxes and why you think this would somehow lower inflation?

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                                          patatas@sh.itjust.works
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #72

                                          Link Preview Image
                                          Ever heard of modern monetary theory?

                                          It’s a way of thinking about the economy. Picture a bathroom sink …

                                          favicon

                                          (www.marketplace.org)

                                          Really just linking this for the diagrams, which are the most succinct explanation for this that I know of - but this is the theoretical basis for what I am talking about

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