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Wandering Adventure Party

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  3. I have never worried about the singularity because I had a single conversation in 2007 with a guy who worked in a chip fab, and learned just the tiniest bit about the physical, mechanical process that goes into actually manufacturing a microprocessor, ...

I have never worried about the singularity because I had a single conversation in 2007 with a guy who worked in a chip fab, and learned just the tiniest bit about the physical, mechanical process that goes into actually manufacturing a microprocessor, ...

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  • GlyphG Glyph

    @criffer @jwz yes, this is absolutely my point. The reverse centaurs are pressed into service by other humans, abused by other humans, and so it must be.

    One of the other, more “reasonable” TESCREAL sects believes something more like; of course we won’t have a robot king in a robot body on a robot throne, but superintelligences will be so perfectly convincing that they will co-opt humans effortlessly by programming our brains, so it’s the same deal. But this is equally wishful thinking

    GlyphG This user is from outside of this forum
    GlyphG This user is from outside of this forum
    Glyph
    wrote on last edited by
    #9

    @criffer @jwz The reality of that outcome is a billionaire looking into their magic mirror, saying “mirror mirror on the wall, should I oppress and murder the poor” the mirror says “yes absolutely boss. You are so smart” and then they collapse onto a nearby fainting couch and say “oh no! Woe is me! My consciousness has been commandeered by a malevolent overmind!” before getting up and saying “oh well, nothing for it” before pulling the lever on their orphan-crushing machine

    Allan ChowG 1 Reply Last reply
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    • Christina JenniferC Christina Jennifer

      @jwz @glyph We already have quasi-autonomous entities that while not being sentient act as if they had intelligence in the single-minded furtherance of maximising an output, to the detriment of all else.

      They’re called corporations.

      GlyphG This user is from outside of this forum
      GlyphG This user is from outside of this forum
      Glyph
      wrote on last edited by
      #10

      @criffer @jwz yes, this is absolutely my point. The reverse centaurs are pressed into service by other humans, abused by other humans, and so it must be.

      One of the other, more “reasonable” TESCREAL sects believes something more like; of course we won’t have a robot king in a robot body on a robot throne, but superintelligences will be so perfectly convincing that they will co-opt humans effortlessly by programming our brains, so it’s the same deal. But this is equally wishful thinking

      GlyphG Charlie StrossC 2 Replies Last reply
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      • GlyphG Glyph

        @criffer @jwz The reality of that outcome is a billionaire looking into their magic mirror, saying “mirror mirror on the wall, should I oppress and murder the poor” the mirror says “yes absolutely boss. You are so smart” and then they collapse onto a nearby fainting couch and say “oh no! Woe is me! My consciousness has been commandeered by a malevolent overmind!” before getting up and saying “oh well, nothing for it” before pulling the lever on their orphan-crushing machine

        Allan ChowG This user is from outside of this forum
        Allan ChowG This user is from outside of this forum
        Allan Chow
        wrote on last edited by
        #11

        @glyph @criffer @jwz I believe that's a logic for a lot of people that make decisions that have huge swathing negative impacts on many people are of the type who go " I am clearly not a horrible person. Therefore, my actions clearly must not be having these horrific impacts on people because only a horrible person would do that."

        Jürgen HubertJ 1 Reply Last reply
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        • GlyphG Glyph

          @criffer @jwz yes, this is absolutely my point. The reverse centaurs are pressed into service by other humans, abused by other humans, and so it must be.

          One of the other, more “reasonable” TESCREAL sects believes something more like; of course we won’t have a robot king in a robot body on a robot throne, but superintelligences will be so perfectly convincing that they will co-opt humans effortlessly by programming our brains, so it’s the same deal. But this is equally wishful thinking

          Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
          Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
          Charlie Stross
          wrote on last edited by
          #12

          @glyph @criffer @jwz I am so here for this bullshit! SF thrives on dystopian paranoia and I am paranoia-ing the fuck out of their dystopia in the two novels I'm currently working on (when not recovering from eye surgery)

          GlyphG 1 Reply Last reply
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          • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

            @glyph @criffer @jwz I am so here for this bullshit! SF thrives on dystopian paranoia and I am paranoia-ing the fuck out of their dystopia in the two novels I'm currently working on (when not recovering from eye surgery)

            GlyphG This user is from outside of this forum
            GlyphG This user is from outside of this forum
            Glyph
            wrote on last edited by
            #13

            @cstross @criffer @jwz it’s a positive feedback loop! Assuming your two upcoming novels are “don’t create the orphan-crushing machine” and “okay you created it but *at least* don’t pull the lever on the orphan-crushing machine” we already know what silicon valley elite’s reaction will be

            Charlie StrossC 1 Reply Last reply
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            • GlyphG Glyph

              @cstross @criffer @jwz it’s a positive feedback loop! Assuming your two upcoming novels are “don’t create the orphan-crushing machine” and “okay you created it but *at least* don’t pull the lever on the orphan-crushing machine” we already know what silicon valley elite’s reaction will be

              Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
              Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
              Charlie Stross
              wrote on last edited by
              #14

              @glyph @criffer @jwz I guarantee you the silicon valley TESCREAL bros will LOATHE these two space operas, but hopefully won't quite be able to work out why. (It's much harder to argue with an idea that makes you unaccountably itchy and irritable than an obvious Ayn Rand style political soapbox lecture—which you can choose to skim past or otherwise ignore.)

              GlyphG 1 Reply Last reply
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              • Charlie StrossC Charlie Stross

                @glyph @criffer @jwz I guarantee you the silicon valley TESCREAL bros will LOATHE these two space operas, but hopefully won't quite be able to work out why. (It's much harder to argue with an idea that makes you unaccountably itchy and irritable than an obvious Ayn Rand style political soapbox lecture—which you can choose to skim past or otherwise ignore.)

                GlyphG This user is from outside of this forum
                GlyphG This user is from outside of this forum
                Glyph
                wrote on last edited by
                #15

                @cstross @criffer @jwz I stridently hope so. (Can’t wait to read them myself.)

                Charlie StrossC 1 Reply Last reply
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                • GlyphG Glyph

                  @cstross @criffer @jwz I stridently hope so. (Can’t wait to read them myself.)

                  Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                  Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                  Charlie Stross
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #16

                  @glyph @criffer @jwz Not before 2027.

                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • Allan ChowG Allan Chow

                    @glyph @criffer @jwz I believe that's a logic for a lot of people that make decisions that have huge swathing negative impacts on many people are of the type who go " I am clearly not a horrible person. Therefore, my actions clearly must not be having these horrific impacts on people because only a horrible person would do that."

                    Jürgen HubertJ This user is from outside of this forum
                    Jürgen HubertJ This user is from outside of this forum
                    Jürgen Hubert
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #17

                    @grumpasaurus @glyph @criffer @jwz

                    It's a bigger-scale and more horrible version of the common Internet fallacy:

                    "I am a rational person. Therefore, anyone who disagrees with me must be irrational and be shown the proper path my logical arguments. And my arguments cannot help but be logical, for I am a rational person!"

                    Which completely ignores the fact that being "rational" is not a state of existence you can attain, but a constant process you need to practice each and every day.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • Stefan Edward JonesS Stefan Edward Jones

                      @jameshowell @glyph

                      1997. I-Con SF convention on the SUNY Stony Brook campus.

                      We put Vernor Vinge and grey eminence of SF Frederik Pohl on a panel about the Singularity.

                      Before it started, Pohl asked "What is hell is the Singularity?"

                      I filled him in.

                      Right there, in front of Vinge:

                      "What a load of crap. Here's what's going to happen. We're going to burn through our resources, ruin the environment, civilization will collapse, and the survivors will despise us."

                      Jürgen HubertJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      Jürgen HubertJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      Jürgen Hubert
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #18

                      @StefanEJones @jameshowell @glyph

                      Ballsy. I like it!

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • James Endres HowellJ James Endres Howell

                        @glyph I have never worried about the #Singularity because in the late nineties, on two separate occasions, I spoke at length with two (then and still today) fairly well-known Ayatollahs of the movement.

                        They both made certain to mention that they thought I was smart—perhaps even approaching as smart as they thought they were!—and so they were candid and enthusiastic with me. Neither had studied biology (ahem ahem obviously), and both genuinely were eager to share ideas with a PhD student in molecular biology.

                        When I pointed out that exponential growth always, but always, leads to system collapse in nature; when I pointed out that in a universe finite in space and time, this is the rigidly necessary requirement of arithmetic, they both responded nonverbally: with a dismissive wave of the hand.

                        In short, the entire movement is based on the belief that Technology is Magic.

                        At the time I had not reached the level of cynicism to see where it would go in thirty years.

                        Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                        Charlie StrossC This user is from outside of this forum
                        Charlie Stross
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #19

                        @jameshowell @glyph I had the same journey, more or less. What the DAIR institute folks anatomize as TESCREAL is basically warmed-over Christianity minus the god/jesus bit, but including the rapture of the nerds and AI calvinist satan (Roko's basilisk).

                        Thirty years for naive belief in perpetual scientific progress to fester and rot down into a new religion.

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