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  3. People Believe If 90% Prefer A over B, A Must Be Much Better than B. Are They Wrong?

People Believe If 90% Prefer A over B, A Must Be Much Better than B. Are They Wrong?

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  • slacktoid@lemmy.mlS slacktoid@lemmy.ml

    All I can say is, if all your friends jumped off a cliff will you jump off as well?

    ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐•„๐•ฆ๐•Ÿ๐•ฅ๐•–๐••๐•”๐•ฃ๐• ๐•”๐• ๐••๐•š๐•๐•–M This user is from outside of this forum
    ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐•„๐•ฆ๐•Ÿ๐•ฅ๐•–๐••๐•”๐•ฃ๐• ๐•”๐• ๐••๐•š๐•๐•–M This user is from outside of this forum
    ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐•„๐•ฆ๐•Ÿ๐•ฅ๐•–๐••๐•”๐•ฃ๐• ๐•”๐• ๐••๐•š๐•๐•–
    wrote on last edited by
    #4

    Who are u kidding Iโ€™m the friend who came up with the ides to jump off the bridge and they are just following me.

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      lodra@programming.devL This user is from outside of this forum
      lodra@programming.devL This user is from outside of this forum
      lodra@programming.dev
      wrote on last edited by
      #5

      When A and B are for sale, then marketing and advertising definitely betray the 90% sometimes. The popular item is not always the best or even the best value

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        brotherl0v3@lemmy.world
        wrote on last edited by
        #6

        Holy shit, I am totally guilty of this.

        For those who havenโ€™t yet read the article, the idea is that people interpret โ€œ80% of people prefer Pepsi Max to Cokeโ€ as โ€œPepsi Max is 80% yummier than Cokeโ€, when in reality most of that 80% only slightly prefers Pepsi.

        Basically a strong difference in proportion of people who prefer one option to another does not necessarily imply a strong difference in the average opinion between the two.

        Em AdespotonA E swedneck@discuss.tchncs.deS 3 Replies Last reply
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        • slacktoid@lemmy.mlS slacktoid@lemmy.ml

          All I can say is, if all your friends jumped off a cliff will you jump off as well?

          A This user is from outside of this forum
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          anomie
          wrote on last edited by
          #7

          They must be running from some imminent danger in such a scenario, so perhaps I would.

          slacktoid@lemmy.mlS swedneck@discuss.tchncs.deS 2 Replies Last reply
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          • B brotherl0v3@lemmy.world

            Holy shit, I am totally guilty of this.

            For those who havenโ€™t yet read the article, the idea is that people interpret โ€œ80% of people prefer Pepsi Max to Cokeโ€ as โ€œPepsi Max is 80% yummier than Cokeโ€, when in reality most of that 80% only slightly prefers Pepsi.

            Basically a strong difference in proportion of people who prefer one option to another does not necessarily imply a strong difference in the average opinion between the two.

            Em AdespotonA This user is from outside of this forum
            Em AdespotonA This user is from outside of this forum
            Em Adespoton
            wrote on last edited by
            #8

            Thatโ€™s how politics tends to operate too.

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              ๐Ÿ‡ฐ ๐ŸŒ€ ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฐ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ K This user is from outside of this forum
              ๐Ÿ‡ฐ ๐ŸŒ€ ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฐ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ K This user is from outside of this forum
              ๐Ÿ‡ฐ ๐ŸŒ€ ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ‡ฐ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
              wrote on last edited by
              #9

              I mean, if a majority of people say something is good, I feel more compelled to see for myself. But I donโ€™t always agree with them once I do.

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              • B brotherl0v3@lemmy.world

                Holy shit, I am totally guilty of this.

                For those who havenโ€™t yet read the article, the idea is that people interpret โ€œ80% of people prefer Pepsi Max to Cokeโ€ as โ€œPepsi Max is 80% yummier than Cokeโ€, when in reality most of that 80% only slightly prefers Pepsi.

                Basically a strong difference in proportion of people who prefer one option to another does not necessarily imply a strong difference in the average opinion between the two.

                E This user is from outside of this forum
                E This user is from outside of this forum
                Ech
                wrote on last edited by ech@lemmy.ca
                #10

                Same thing with RottenTomatoes ratings. A fresh rating just means the reviewer thought it wasnโ€™t terrible, and the โ€œfreshnessโ€ rating really doesnโ€™t say anything about the actual quality of the movie.

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                  ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ tunetardis
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #11

                  I canโ€™t remember which comedian it was, but he said whenever he hears something like 4 out of 5 doctors recommend a particular medication, he wonders what that 5th doctor knows that the others donโ€™t?

                  zizzy@lemmy.blahaj.zoneZ D swedneck@discuss.tchncs.deS 3 Replies Last reply
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                    Tar_Alcaran
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #12

                    We havenโ€™t yet found a case where believing something literally makes it true, contrary to what religion and politics would have you think, so the answer is a resolute โ€œcanโ€™t sayโ€

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                      ร˜ฯ€3ล•
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #13

                      โ€œPeople are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals, and you know this.โ€ - Agent K

                      T swedneck@discuss.tchncs.deS 2 Replies Last reply
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                      • A anomie

                        They must be running from some imminent danger in such a scenario, so perhaps I would.

                        slacktoid@lemmy.mlS This user is from outside of this forum
                        slacktoid@lemmy.mlS This user is from outside of this forum
                        slacktoid@lemmy.ml
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #14

                        Maybeโ€ฆ But no not in this scenario.

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                        • ร˜ฯ€3ล•O ร˜ฯ€3ล•

                          โ€œPeople are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals, and you know this.โ€ - Agent K

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                          tempermentalanomaly@lemmy.world
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #15

                          โ€œHey Iโ€™m people! Ahhhhhhh!.. Iโ€™ll kill you dead!โ€ - Homer Simpson?

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                            andrew0A This user is from outside of this forum
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                            andrew0
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #16

                            This is true only if the decisions were made independently. If you allow people to make a decision after theyโ€™ve seen the metrics, this no longer holds.

                            Hereโ€™s an example of the first. You go at a farmerโ€™s market with a cow and you ask everyone to write on a piece of paper what they think the weight is. If you get the replies and average them, you will find that the mean of all answers will be quite close to the real answer. A mix of non-experts and experts will iron out a good answer somehow.

                            Now take the average experience of going to a restaurant. One might have just opened recently, has great food and great staff, but only 5 reviews, at an average of 3.8 or something. Another restaurant nearby has been open for 3-4 years, and has 1000 reviews, at maybe 3.9. People will usually follow the one with more reviews because they think itโ€™s the safer option due to the information available. However, if you were to hide this and ask them to choose by just looking at the venue and the menu, they would probably choose the first one.

                            Group dynamics are quite interesting, and the psychology behind this is quite funky sometimes ๐Ÿ˜„

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                            • T ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ tunetardis

                              I canโ€™t remember which comedian it was, but he said whenever he hears something like 4 out of 5 doctors recommend a particular medication, he wonders what that 5th doctor knows that the others donโ€™t?

                              zizzy@lemmy.blahaj.zoneZ This user is from outside of this forum
                              zizzy@lemmy.blahaj.zoneZ This user is from outside of this forum
                              zizzy@lemmy.blahaj.zone
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #17

                              The fifth doctor got bribed by a different brand first

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                                bestbouclettes@jlai.lu
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #18

                                Isnโ€™t that the tyranny of the majority? The fact that a larger percentage of the population does something, doesnโ€™t necessarily mean itโ€™s the better thing.

                                D 1 Reply Last reply
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                                • B bestbouclettes@jlai.lu

                                  Isnโ€™t that the tyranny of the majority? The fact that a larger percentage of the population does something, doesnโ€™t necessarily mean itโ€™s the better thing.

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                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #19

                                  Eg. USA.

                                  B 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • T Tar_Alcaran

                                    We havenโ€™t yet found a case where believing something literally makes it true, contrary to what religion and politics would have you think, so the answer is a resolute โ€œcanโ€™t sayโ€

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                                    wrote on last edited by davidagain@lemmy.world
                                    #20

                                    Yes and no. Beliefs can definitely shape reality.

                                    If someone believes that they canโ€™t do something difficult, they often donโ€™t attempt it, so donโ€™t acquire the skills they would need, and stay unable to do it. The converse is also true.

                                    Children are heavily influenced by their parentsโ€™ beliefs about them.

                                    Believing something about different brands of soda doesnโ€™t change the chemical composition of them, but in a world where products are judged on their sales rather than their chemical composition, changing the perception of a product can fundamentally change its sales, making it a better product by the only objective measure thatโ€™s consistently used. This is even more true in the world of fashion, for example very strongly with trainers etc.

                                    Anything where human behaviour changes reality is a place where beliefs change reality.

                                    Our beliefs shape the world strongly and powerfully. They change reality.

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                                    • T ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ tunetardis

                                      I canโ€™t remember which comedian it was, but he said whenever he hears something like 4 out of 5 doctors recommend a particular medication, he wonders what that 5th doctor knows that the others donโ€™t?

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                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #21

                                      The fifth Doctor knows who the Portreeve of Castrovalva really is.

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                                      • ร˜ฯ€3ล•O ร˜ฯ€3ล•

                                        โ€œPeople are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals, and you know this.โ€ - Agent K

                                        swedneck@discuss.tchncs.deS This user is from outside of this forum
                                        swedneck@discuss.tchncs.deS This user is from outside of this forum
                                        swedneck@discuss.tchncs.de
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #22

                                        feels a bit strange to not include the full quote, which changes the sentiment quite a bit:
                                        โ€œA person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it.โ€

                                        ร˜ฯ€3ล•O 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • B brotherl0v3@lemmy.world

                                          Holy shit, I am totally guilty of this.

                                          For those who havenโ€™t yet read the article, the idea is that people interpret โ€œ80% of people prefer Pepsi Max to Cokeโ€ as โ€œPepsi Max is 80% yummier than Cokeโ€, when in reality most of that 80% only slightly prefers Pepsi.

                                          Basically a strong difference in proportion of people who prefer one option to another does not necessarily imply a strong difference in the average opinion between the two.

                                          swedneck@discuss.tchncs.deS This user is from outside of this forum
                                          swedneck@discuss.tchncs.deS This user is from outside of this forum
                                          swedneck@discuss.tchncs.de
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #23

                                          i mean itโ€™s also important to note that companies can blatantly lie

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