People Believe If 90% Prefer A over B, A Must Be Much Better than B. Are They Wrong?
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All I can say is, if all your friends jumped off a cliff will you jump off as well?
Who are u kidding Iโm the friend who came up with the ides to jump off the bridge and they are just following me.
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When A and B are for sale, then marketing and advertising definitely betray the 90% sometimes. The popular item is not always the best or even the best value
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Holy shit, I am totally guilty of this.
For those who havenโt yet read the article, the idea is that people interpret โ80% of people prefer Pepsi Max to Cokeโ as โPepsi Max is 80% yummier than Cokeโ, when in reality most of that 80% only slightly prefers Pepsi.
Basically a strong difference in proportion of people who prefer one option to another does not necessarily imply a strong difference in the average opinion between the two.
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All I can say is, if all your friends jumped off a cliff will you jump off as well?
They must be running from some imminent danger in such a scenario, so perhaps I would.
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Holy shit, I am totally guilty of this.
For those who havenโt yet read the article, the idea is that people interpret โ80% of people prefer Pepsi Max to Cokeโ as โPepsi Max is 80% yummier than Cokeโ, when in reality most of that 80% only slightly prefers Pepsi.
Basically a strong difference in proportion of people who prefer one option to another does not necessarily imply a strong difference in the average opinion between the two.
Thatโs how politics tends to operate too.
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I mean, if a majority of people say something is good, I feel more compelled to see for myself. But I donโt always agree with them once I do.
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Holy shit, I am totally guilty of this.
For those who havenโt yet read the article, the idea is that people interpret โ80% of people prefer Pepsi Max to Cokeโ as โPepsi Max is 80% yummier than Cokeโ, when in reality most of that 80% only slightly prefers Pepsi.
Basically a strong difference in proportion of people who prefer one option to another does not necessarily imply a strong difference in the average opinion between the two.
Same thing with RottenTomatoes ratings. A fresh rating just means the reviewer thought it wasnโt terrible, and the โfreshnessโ rating really doesnโt say anything about the actual quality of the movie.
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I canโt remember which comedian it was, but he said whenever he hears something like 4 out of 5 doctors recommend a particular medication, he wonders what that 5th doctor knows that the others donโt?
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We havenโt yet found a case where believing something literally makes it true, contrary to what religion and politics would have you think, so the answer is a resolute โcanโt sayโ
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โPeople are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals, and you know this.โ - Agent K
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Maybeโฆ But no not in this scenario.
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โHey Iโm people! Ahhhhhhh!.. Iโll kill you dead!โ - Homer Simpson?
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This is true only if the decisions were made independently. If you allow people to make a decision after theyโve seen the metrics, this no longer holds.
Hereโs an example of the first. You go at a farmerโs market with a cow and you ask everyone to write on a piece of paper what they think the weight is. If you get the replies and average them, you will find that the mean of all answers will be quite close to the real answer. A mix of non-experts and experts will iron out a good answer somehow.
Now take the average experience of going to a restaurant. One might have just opened recently, has great food and great staff, but only 5 reviews, at an average of 3.8 or something. Another restaurant nearby has been open for 3-4 years, and has 1000 reviews, at maybe 3.9. People will usually follow the one with more reviews because they think itโs the safer option due to the information available. However, if you were to hide this and ask them to choose by just looking at the venue and the menu, they would probably choose the first one.
Group dynamics are quite interesting, and the psychology behind this is quite funky sometimes
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I canโt remember which comedian it was, but he said whenever he hears something like 4 out of 5 doctors recommend a particular medication, he wonders what that 5th doctor knows that the others donโt?
The fifth doctor got bribed by a different brand first
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Isnโt that the tyranny of the majority? The fact that a larger percentage of the population does something, doesnโt necessarily mean itโs the better thing.
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Isnโt that the tyranny of the majority? The fact that a larger percentage of the population does something, doesnโt necessarily mean itโs the better thing.
Eg. USA.
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We havenโt yet found a case where believing something literally makes it true, contrary to what religion and politics would have you think, so the answer is a resolute โcanโt sayโ
Yes and no. Beliefs can definitely shape reality.
If someone believes that they canโt do something difficult, they often donโt attempt it, so donโt acquire the skills they would need, and stay unable to do it. The converse is also true.
Children are heavily influenced by their parentsโ beliefs about them.
Believing something about different brands of soda doesnโt change the chemical composition of them, but in a world where products are judged on their sales rather than their chemical composition, changing the perception of a product can fundamentally change its sales, making it a better product by the only objective measure thatโs consistently used. This is even more true in the world of fashion, for example very strongly with trainers etc.
Anything where human behaviour changes reality is a place where beliefs change reality.
Our beliefs shape the world strongly and powerfully. They change reality.
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I canโt remember which comedian it was, but he said whenever he hears something like 4 out of 5 doctors recommend a particular medication, he wonders what that 5th doctor knows that the others donโt?
The fifth Doctor knows who the Portreeve of Castrovalva really is.
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feels a bit strange to not include the full quote, which changes the sentiment quite a bit:
โA person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it.โ -
Holy shit, I am totally guilty of this.
For those who havenโt yet read the article, the idea is that people interpret โ80% of people prefer Pepsi Max to Cokeโ as โPepsi Max is 80% yummier than Cokeโ, when in reality most of that 80% only slightly prefers Pepsi.
Basically a strong difference in proportion of people who prefer one option to another does not necessarily imply a strong difference in the average opinion between the two.
i mean itโs also important to note that companies can blatantly lie