Mark Carney’s first budget projects $78B deficit, program and civil service cuts
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It’s literally how we dealt with the first phase of the Covid pandemic. Was keeping millions of Canadians from being evicted a bad idea?
Covid, and emergencies like it, are entirely the point of fiscal responsibility!
In an emergency, you can max out your credit. If you do that on the regular, for non emergencies, not only will you end up paying an absurd amount of interest, but you won’t be able to borrow more when the next emergency happens!
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Covid, and emergencies like it, are entirely the point of fiscal responsibility!
In an emergency, you can max out your credit. If you do that on the regular, for non emergencies, not only will you end up paying an absurd amount of interest, but you won’t be able to borrow more when the next emergency happens!
Great ok so we at least agree that issuing currency is not the fiscal equivalent of drinking bleach, and that there are good and bad reasons to do it.
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Great ok so we at least agree that issuing currency is not the fiscal equivalent of drinking bleach, and that there are good and bad reasons to do it.
Dollars are not scarce items; the government can issue currency essentially at will.
Edit: You CAN drink a small amount of bleach. Just like you CAN print money during a generational event.
A small amount of bleach will burn a bit. A small amount of printing money caused inflation that we also haven’t seen in decades. It hurts families now but that’s the price we paid to help during covid.
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The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.
This budget is ass.
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I mean, that’s how a lot of Canadian politics works… “passed because no one really hated it”…
That’s how all politics works. You can’t make everyone happy, so you just try to make every less unhappy.
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Which services are you thinking of?
The major thing I’ve seen is reducing the number of public sector employees back to 2020 levels, which doesn’t seem wild. (I haven’t seen a good explanation of why we needed to increase the public sector by 20% since then, nor of what we got out of that. If you have anything, I’d love to read it!) Throw in some reductions of outside consultants etc…
There are undoubtedly some programs getting cut. But given we’re teetering on the edge of an adversary induced recession, that doesn’t seem unsreasonable.
Generally speaking, reducing public servants increases consultancy requirements, not reduces.
If you don’t have someone with the capabilites/skills/corporate knowledge/experince/capacity to do X thing on the payroll, then you need to hire a consultant to do it.
Now obviously I couldn’t tell you what ministry/department/etc needs, but let’s take the Alto contract as an isolated example.
We don’t have any rail expertise in government at all, so we need to consult it in, and we pay a premium for that. In the lens of a single rail project, that makes a a lot of sense, we aren’t paying payroll and maintaining expertise for a once in a generation project.
The alternative is having something like a national rail crown corp or department, like SNCF in France. Now all the experience is at the national level whenever you need it. SNCF has a lot more staff, planning, and engineering capacity than it requires; so that gets farmed out to regions and municipalities to help them with their rail/metro/tram projects. This is instead of each of them needing consultants, driving up the costs for municipal governments/capital projects.
In this manner increased federal spending becomes an accelerant for other levels of government and reduces regional and municipal spending, and thus the overall tax burden for everyone.
So if we had something like SNCF then the Alto project might cost a little more, but the Vancouver, Edmonton, Calgary, Ottawa, Toronto, and Montréal recent/ongoing lines would be cheaper; plus medium cities like Victoria, Winnipeg, Québec City, and Halifax would have rail projects in their reach; and smaller cities like Red Deer, Regina, Thunder Bay, Kingston, Trois Rivières, and Fredericton would have tram projects in their reach.
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Again, that’s a fine and valid critique of the budget.
The fundamental flaw is equating corporate efficiency with public effectiveness…
This position however, does not seem valid when the budget is putting in more than it removes from actual public services, 51 billion v 13.
That part wasn’t a critique of the budget, it was a critique of your pitch for efficiency. You pivoted the discussion, I followed.
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Dollars are not scarce items; the government can issue currency essentially at will.
Edit: You CAN drink a small amount of bleach. Just like you CAN print money during a generational event.
A small amount of bleach will burn a bit. A small amount of printing money caused inflation that we also haven’t seen in decades. It hurts families now but that’s the price we paid to help during covid.
Taxes, then, are disinflationary, right? Which is why we need to tax the rich especially
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removing the carbon cap saying that investments in several sectors would reduce the emissions anyway. A lot of wishful thinking on the budget text, or on the worst case mental gymnastics malice.
A lot of this is through keeping and raising a carbon tax. That makes companies find the most efficient ways to reduce their footprints, rather than the government mandating it for each group. This is the approach favoured by most serious economists and think groups about reducing emissions quickly.
without details what kind of investment they are putting money in
You can look at the “nation building” projects, which include a massive wind farm (green as hell) and a nuclear plant (fairly clean, significantly better than say, oil or gas.)
That makes companies find the most efficient ways to reduce their footprints, rather than the government mandating it for each group. This is the approach favoured by most serious economists
And it is the approach Carney favored in his book (which was written several years before he decided to run for office)
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That makes companies find the most efficient ways to reduce their footprints, rather than the government mandating it for each group. This is the approach favoured by most serious economists
And it is the approach Carney favored in his book (which was written several years before he decided to run for office)
Not at all surprised to hear that! (The book is sitting on my shelf, unread and judging me.)
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Taxes, then, are disinflationary, right? Which is why we need to tax the rich especially
No, that’s not at all how that works.
At all.
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That part wasn’t a critique of the budget, it was a critique of your pitch for efficiency. You pivoted the discussion, I followed.
Maybe re-read what you reaponded to?
It’s pretty nonsensical to claim that because you’re providing a public good you can’t do so more effectively.
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Generally speaking, reducing public servants increases consultancy requirements, not reduces.
If you don’t have someone with the capabilites/skills/corporate knowledge/experince/capacity to do X thing on the payroll, then you need to hire a consultant to do it.
Now obviously I couldn’t tell you what ministry/department/etc needs, but let’s take the Alto contract as an isolated example.
We don’t have any rail expertise in government at all, so we need to consult it in, and we pay a premium for that. In the lens of a single rail project, that makes a a lot of sense, we aren’t paying payroll and maintaining expertise for a once in a generation project.
The alternative is having something like a national rail crown corp or department, like SNCF in France. Now all the experience is at the national level whenever you need it. SNCF has a lot more staff, planning, and engineering capacity than it requires; so that gets farmed out to regions and municipalities to help them with their rail/metro/tram projects. This is instead of each of them needing consultants, driving up the costs for municipal governments/capital projects.
In this manner increased federal spending becomes an accelerant for other levels of government and reduces regional and municipal spending, and thus the overall tax burden for everyone.
So if we had something like SNCF then the Alto project might cost a little more, but the Vancouver, Edmonton, Calgary, Ottawa, Toronto, and Montréal recent/ongoing lines would be cheaper; plus medium cities like Victoria, Winnipeg, Québec City, and Halifax would have rail projects in their reach; and smaller cities like Red Deer, Regina, Thunder Bay, Kingston, Trois Rivières, and Fredericton would have tram projects in their reach.
It’s not like we’d have rail experts on the public payroll just sitting around.
And one of the mandates is to reduce consultancies (in large part because there’s been a lucrative pipeline of folks going through the public service, retiring, and then acting as consultants at a much inflated wage.)
Are all consultancies unnecessary? Absolutely not! But have all of them been necessary? Again, ask anyone who has worked in any sort of governmental agency and they’ll laugh as they regale you. (I still don’t know wether to laugh or cry at the guy who earned hundreds of thousands with the recommendation of “you should use this basic microsoft product.”)
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Maybe re-read what you reaponded to?
It’s pretty nonsensical to claim that because you’re providing a public good you can’t do so more effectively.
Nah I’m good dude, don’t have the energy, you can have this one.
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Nah I’m good dude, don’t have the energy, you can have this one.
Phew, I was thinking the same. I have no idea what you are trying to say.
Cheers.
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The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.
Awesome!
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The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.
Wow…that is roughly $2000 per Canadian.
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The theme seems to be “reduce operating spending, increase capital spending”. We’ll see how that will blow over with the opposition.
No more private planes tax, no more capital gains tax… middle and lower class Canadians to foot the bill for this “investment”
This is trickle down economics with a tik tok song in the background
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No, that’s not at all how that works.
At all.
Sorry, but if the first claim is that government spending is inflationary, then there’s no way to claim that taxes aren’t disinflationary.
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Sorry, but if the first claim is that government spending is inflationary, then there’s no way to claim that taxes aren’t disinflationary.
Lol, wait, what?
Just… Walk me through how you think this would work, say as Canada’s inflation rate hit 8% in summer 2022. Who would you have taxed, what would you have done with said taxes and why you think this would somehow lower inflation?